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Reports are coming out that Tesla plans to start Cybertruck production in "Late 2023". Given Elon and Tesla's track record my guess is that this is going to get delayed at least once between now and the end of next year.


A new report from Reuters says Tesla is aiming to begin full Cybertruck mass production by the end of next year. For realsies this time, or so it says. This would only be two years after the initial mass production target was announced by CEO Elon Musk. That easily beats out vehicles like the Semi and new Roadster.


That being said, words are cheap when it comes to Tesla production targets, so we’ll remain skeptical until Cybertrucks actually start rolling off the assembly line in Austin, Texas.

“We’re in the final lap for Cybertruck,” Musk told financial analysts in a conference call.

According to Reuters, a gradual ramp-up in the second half of 2023 will culminate in full output by the end of that year. That would mean the company wouldn’t make any money off the long-awaited Cybertruck until the beginning of 2024 at the earliest.

There’s still no word on exactly how much the Cybertruck will cost people who put down a $100 deposit years ago, but it’s a safe bet that it’ll be well over the initial $40,000 Musk projected it to be.
 

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Yup. I'm still pretty confident I will get my WT Silverado EV before my friend gets his CT he reserved 3-4 years (or when ever the hell it was) ago. LOL! 😁
 

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Rivian R1T, Suburban 2500, VW ID.4
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If and when Tesla starts shipping CTs I think all the EV truck manufacturers will take a hit. If I recall there are over 1 million reservations.
Which most likely is 3-5 years of production as things ramp (if they convert all reservations to deliveries), and that is assuming no one else reserves one when they open reservations again. The reservation numbers for all the trucks show that demand far outpaces supply at this point, so I don't think anyone is going to "take a hit" for many years, at which point the second generation Lightning will be on the way, and Toyota and Ram will introduce their offerings. At that point it may be getting close to the point where you could order/reserve a truck and get it in a reasonable timeframe.
 

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2022 Kia EV6 GT-Line AWD, 2022 Rivian R1T
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Which most likely is 3-5 years of production as things ramp (if they convert all reservations to deliveries), and that is assuming no one else reserves one when they open reservations again. The reservation numbers for all the trucks show that demand far outpaces supply at this point, so I don't think anyone is going to "take a hit" for many years, at which point the second generation Lightning will be on the way, and Toyota and Ram will introduce their offerings. At that point it may be getting close to the point where you could order/reserve a truck and get it in a reasonable timeframe.
The CT will certainly not put any of the other EV truck producers in a financial bind. IMO production capacity for the CT will ramp quickly due to Tesla’s overall high volume manufacturing startup capabilities but also for the manufacturability of the CT. No paint, the mega stamping, simple interior and exterior, minimal configurations not to mention years of development.
 

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You know this Cybertruck is starting to look kind of dated. It is definitely unlike anything else on the road, but the novelty of the design elements doesn't seem to age well. And I am a Tesla stan... have had two Tesla and have 3 Powerwalls on my garage.

The bargain bin interiors are also uninspiring. I know this buck/interior isn't final, but Tesla has no nice interiors, and I don't expect them to suddenly make their interiors high-end.
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You know this Cybertruck is starting to look kind of dated. It is definitely unlike anything else on the road, but the novelty of the design elements doesn't seem to age well. And I am a Tesla stan... have had two Tesla and have 3 Powerwalls on my garage.

The bargain bin interiors are also uninspiring. I know this buck/interior isn't final, but Tesla has no nice interiors, and I don't expect them to suddenly make their interiors high-end.
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I agree with all you said but none the less a lot of folks have reservations. I also think conversations from reservation to purchase will not be much better than 40-50%.

I find the Jeep Gladiator to be butt ugly but they seem to be quite popular. So it seems CT is also attractive to a significant pool of folks.
 

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I can’t stand the tesla styling exterior and interior, but really can’t stand the functionality of the interior. There’s a reason cars have had the same buttons and levers for the past 50 years, they work. Maybe I can deal with a seat heater on the screen, but shifters, door locks, etc… should all have buttons.
 

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You know this Cybertruck is starting to look kind of dated. It is definitely unlike anything else on the road, but the novelty of the design elements doesn't seem to age well.
100% agree. Maybe the technical stuff and capabilities will be the saving grace. CT has never been pretty and never will. It sure will be interesting to see what the conversion rate from reservations to orders will be once they start rolling out the assembly line one of these years.
 

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Rivian R1T, Suburban 2500, VW ID.4
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I can’t stand the tesla styling exterior and interior, but really can’t stand the functionality of the interior. There’s a reason cars have had the same buttons and levers for the past 50 years, they work. Maybe I can deal with a seat heater on the screen, but shifters, door locks, etc… should all have buttons.
That may be true, but you get used to things on the screen, it didn't take long to get used to the R1T and it is second nature now. Of course I came from a Volt which was kind of a hybrid of buttons, dedicated areas to press, but most things not actual buttons, and some things on the screen. The shifter on the screen seems a bit too far though.

One benefit of buttons on the screen is you can add more features or refine the existing features much easier through OTA updates. I do like what Hyundai/Kia and GM have done with physical buttons that have adaptive functions depending on what is on the screen. I think that is a good middle ground.
 

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That may be true, but you get used to things on the screen, it didn't take long to get used to the R1T and it is second nature now. Of course I came from a Volt which was kind of a hybrid of buttons, dedicated areas to press, but most things not actual buttons, and some things on the screen. The shifter on the screen seems a bit too far though.

One benefit of buttons on the screen is you can add more features or refine the existing features much easier through OTA updates. I do like what Hyundai/Kia and GM have done with physical buttons that have adaptive functions depending on what is on the screen. I think that is a good middle ground.

The absolute worst is trying to tap tap tap some stupid little icon on a screen that is jostling all over the place...

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That may be true, but you get used to things on the screen, it didn't take long to get used to the R1T and it is second nature now. Of course I came from a Volt which was kind of a hybrid of buttons, dedicated areas to press, but most things not actual buttons, and some things on the screen. The shifter on the screen seems a bit too far though.

One benefit of buttons on the screen is you can add more features or refine the existing features much easier through OTA updates. I do like what Hyundai/Kia and GM have done with physical buttons that have adaptive functions depending on what is on the screen. I think that is a good middle ground.
Remember when phones had a rotary dial? Remember when they had actual buttons?

Going to a screen was the first step in the phone's evolution to the next level. That evolution is what is happening to transportation now. I got comfortable with a glass-screened phone (not everybody has), and am now extremely comfortable with the Tesla control screens. So much so that my Cadillac is just a royal pain with it's controls spread out all over the place...:oops:
 
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